Tag Archives: nassim taleb

Are you a policy fashion victim?

I’m a big fan of Nassim Taleb but clearly he’s no fan of the likes of me. My one saving grace?  I do deadlift, 127.5kg for 6 reps, Mr Taleb. He’s never heard of me, but he knows my type.  I’m a … Continue reading

Posted in all wrong, command and control, public sector, systems thinking | Tagged , , , | 10 Comments

How to be fooled by randomness

This is a roulette wheel. It is a machine for producing numbers between 0 and 36. Sometimes it produces a 7… Then sometimes it produces a 13… If a 7 is produced on one spin and a 13 on the … Continue reading

Posted in data, leadership, systems thinking | Tagged , , , | 1 Comment

The house that looks like Hitler

Remember the house that looks like Hitler? Course you do, it’s a house that looks like Hitler. What’s to forget? There’s loads of things that look like faces. There is the tampon machine that just loves checkin’ the ladies out… … Continue reading

Posted in human brains are weird, information, psychology, statistics, systems thinking | Tagged , , | 2 Comments

Why scorecards are as dangerous as Michael Jackson’s personal doctor

Let me take you back to an experiment that took place in 1930s New York…..   No matter how many times a child was presented to a doctor, there was a 50% chance that they would be prescibed a tonsilectomy…even if … Continue reading

Posted in data, statistics, systems thinking | Tagged , , | 2 Comments

On the internet nobody knows you are a Policy Officer

A few months ago I got an email from Seth Godin, world famous internet man. This week  Nassim Taleb, sent me a tweet, the guy who predicted the 2008 economic crash. I am a Policy Expert nobody, and Seth and … Continue reading

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Is Big Data a pile of cack?

80% of  conclusions drawn from Big Data are incorrect.[link] The UK government is investing £64 million in Big Data. [link] I was fooled by Big Data,  you don’t have to be. Here is my story. Years ago I worked in an … Continue reading

Posted in command and control, data, learning, statistics, systems thinking | Tagged , | 8 Comments

How to be Topp

“You don’t eat to be “the best” taster the world, don’t take a stroll to be “the best” stroller in the world, don’t push buttons in an elevator to be the best button pusher in the world. So if you … Continue reading

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3 ways you are fooled by randomness

Posted in data, statistics, systems thinking, systemz comix, very short posts | Tagged | Leave a comment

Skin in the game

This man is Johnny Cash, the photo was taken when he recorded a live album in a concert at San Quentin maximum security prison in front of an audience of robbers, rapists and killers. Asked if he had a message … Continue reading

Posted in command and control, leadership | Tagged , | 13 Comments